Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.097168 0.112496 0.129254 0.148906 0.171295 0.195979 0.225224
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.075514 0.096114 0.120621 0.151814 0.190337 0.236226 0.294891
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.061995 0.085802 0.116306 0.157989 0.213155 0.283317 0.378913
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.049081 0.073382 0.106706 0.155266 0.223645 0.315813 0.448617
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.042784 0.068488 0.105904 0.163568 0.249223 0.370554 0.553874
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.036398 0.062118 0.101699 0.165939 0.266153 0.414659 0.648858
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.030107 0.054632 0.094428 0.162254 0.273035 0.444243 0.725153
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.025470 0.048951 0.088979 0.160357 0.281960 0.477225 0.809320
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.023419 0.047356 0.089973 0.169034 0.308747 0.540632 0.947358
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021489 0.045611 0.090363 0.176545 0.334160 0.603947 1.090896
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018214 0.040685 0.084210 0.171350 0.336483 0.628252 1.170558
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015898 0.037258 0.080341 0.169773 0.344920 0.663565 1.271984
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013464 0.033199 0.074735 0.164287 0.345784 0.686132 1.354283
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011650 0.030168 0.070770 0.161532 0.351555 0.718222 1.457069
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010580 0.028655 0.069789 0.164800 0.369634 0.775144 1.611540
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009086 0.025823 0.065454 0.160239 0.371013 0.799690 1.705751
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008580 0.025388 0.066528 0.167805 0.398845 0.879277 1.915269
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007783 0.024030 0.065210 0.169694 0.414484 0.935364 2.082094
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006769 0.021871 0.061592 0.165644 0.416350 0.962837 2.192257
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.005985 0.020202 0.058941 0.163556 0.422401 0.999620 2.324885
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.005763 0.020160 0.060538 0.172304 0.454835 1.096521 2.594064
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.005502 0.019945 0.061636 0.179899 0.485266 1.191465 2.866276
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004787 0.018129 0.058018 0.174586 0.483405 1.213312 2.978132